Thursday, August 23, 2007

Standings...why I'm pessimistic right now

I just got through studying the standings and here are a few brief observations:

1. The Mets are a little on the lucky side

2. The Phillies are exactly where they should be (As in, they Pyth Record is also their actual record)

3. The Braves are a little on the unlucky side

[Sidenote, anybody else notice what happened to the TX Rangers Pyth. Record after last night's slaughter? OK, OK, maybe it didn't change as much as I thought it would but it does (well, sort of) even out after all of those beatings the Rangers received this year.]

All three of these NL East teams' Pyth. Records are quite even. But now for the bad news...

The Braves hope to at least salvage a split
with the Reds. A split with the Reds, we need more than a split. We need to start winning some series, how bout some sweeps against these weak, sub .500 teams?

I don't want this to turn into another one of those posts where I just completely get pessimistic, but the Braves can help me out and maybe win some games with a pitcher besides Hudson and Smoltz. Let's do some more numbers work...

The Mets have 37 games left. Let's say they tail off a little bit and go 18-19 from here on out.

That means the Mets finish the year at 89-73.

If that were to happen (a big if, because the mets have a win% of .568 on the year), the Braves would have to go 24-11 in their remaining 35 games.

Ouch! IF(again, big one) the Mets tail off the Braves have to win 24 of 35 games. Oh, and did I mention that 12 of those remaining 35 are against the Phillies or Mets? Yikes, I'd better end this post.

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